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COVID-19 in children: analysis of the first pandemic peak in England
Shamez N Ladhani1,2, Zahin Amin-Chowdhury3, Hannah G Davies3,2
1Immunisation and Countermeasures Division, Public Health England, London, UK DrShamez@aol.com.
Insights
Children had low rates of COVID-19 infection and mortality during the first pandemic wave. This study found minimal evidence of children
Area of Science:
- Pediatric infectious diseases
- Epidemiology
- Public health
Background:
- The first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic presented unique challenges for understanding disease dynamics in pediatric populations.
- Assessing trends in pediatric COVID-19 cases, testing, and outcomes is crucial for public health strategies.
- Comparing pediatric data with adult data provides essential context for disease impact and management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate disease trends, testing practices, community surveillance, case-fatality rates, and excess deaths in children compared to adults during the initial COVID-19 pandemic peak in England.
- To determine the role of children in the transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2).
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of pediatric COVID-19 cases between January and May 2020 in England.
- Comparison of SARS-CoV-2 positivity rates, acute respiratory infection (ARI) prevalence, case-fatality rates, and excess mortality between children and adults.
- Inclusion of data from testing practices, community surveillance, and death records.
Main Results:
- Children constituted 1.1% of all SARS-CoV-2 positive cases, with positivity rates of 4.0% in tested children versus 19.1%-34.9% in adults.
- Low prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 was observed in children with ARI (2.8%) compared to adults (9.3%-45.5%).
- The case-fatality rate in children was 0.3%, with no excess childhood mortality detected compared to previous years.
Conclusions:
- Children represented a small fraction of confirmed COVID-19 cases, even with extensive testing.
- Low SARS-CoV-2 positivity rates in children, including those with ARI, suggest a limited role in overall infection spread.
- Findings indicate that children were not significant drivers of SARS-CoV-2 infection and transmission during the first pandemic wave.
Objectives:
To assess disease trends, testing practices, community surveillance, case-fatality and excess deaths in children as compared with adults during the first pandemic peak in England.
Setting:
England.
Participants:
Children with COVID-19 between January and May 2020.
Main Outcome Measures:
Trends in confirmed COVID-19 cases, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) positivity rates in children compared with adults; community prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 in children with acute respiratory infection (ARI) compared with adults, case-fatality rate in children with confirmed COVID-19 and excess childhood deaths compared with the previous 5 years.
Results:
Children represented 1.1% (1,408/129,704) of SARS-CoV-2 positive cases between 16 January 2020 and 3 May 2020. In total, 540 305 people were tested for SARS-COV-2 and 129,704 (24.0%) were positive. In children aged <16 years, 35,200 tests were performed and 1408 (4.0%) were positive for SARS-CoV-2, compared to 19.1%-34.9% adults. Childhood cases increased from mid-March and peaked on 11 April before declining. Among 2,961 individuals presenting with ARI in primary care, 351 were children and 10 (2.8%) were positive compared with 9.3%-45.5% in adults. Eight children died and four (case-fatality rate, 0.3%; 95% CI 0.07% to 0.7%) were due to COVID-19. We found no evidence of excess mortality in children.
Conclusions:
Children accounted for a very small proportion of confirmed cases despite the large numbers of children tested. SARS-CoV-2 positivity was low even in children with ARI. Our findings provide further evidence against the role of children in infection and transmission of SARS-CoV-2.
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