Estimation of low-level components lost through chromatographic separations with finite detection limits

The search for biomarkers allowing the assessment of disease by early diagnosis is facilitated by liquid chromatography. However, it is not clear how many components are lost due to being present in concentrations below the detection limit and/or being obscured by chromatographic peak overlap. First, we extend the study of missing components undertaken by Enke and Nagels, who employed the log-normal probability density function (pdf) for the distribution of signal intensities (and concentrations) of three mixtures. The Weibull and exponential pdfs, which have a higher probability of small-concentration components than the log-normal pdf, are also investigated. Results show that assessments of the loss of low-intensity signals by curve fitting are ambiguous. Next, we simulate synthetic chromatograms to compare the loss of peaks from superposition (overlap) with neighboring peaks to the loss arising from lying below the limit of detection (LOD) imposed by a finite signal-to-noise ratio (SNR). The simulations are made using amplitude pdfs based on the Enke-Nagels data as functions of relative column efficiency, i.e., saturation, and SNR. Results show that at the highest efficiencies, the lowest-amplitude peaks are lost below the LOD. However, at small and medium efficiencies, peak overlap is the dominant loss mechanism, suggesting that low-level components will not be found easily in liquid chromatography with single channel detectors regardless of SNR. A simple treatment shows that a multichannel detector, e.g., a mass spectrometer, is necessary to expose more low-level components.