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Remnant cholesterol as a risk factor for cardiovascular, cancer or other causes mortality: A competing risks analysis
Caterina Bonfiglio1, Carla M Leone1, Liciana V A Silveira2
1Laboratory of Epidemiology and Biostatistics National Institute of Gastroenterology, "S de Bellis" Research Hospital, Via Turi 27, 70013 Castellana Grotte, BA, Italy (Alberto Ruben Osella, Caterina Bonfiglio, Carla Maria Leone, Rocco Guerra, Irene Bruno Claudia Buongiorno, Angelo Campanella, Vito Maria Bernardo Guerra, Valentina Deflorio, Isabella Franco, Antonella Bianco, Antonella Mirizzi, Paolo Sorino).
Insights
High remnant cholesterol (RC) significantly increases cardiovascular death risk, even with cholesterol-lowering therapies. Competing risk analysis helps understand this association among various causes of death.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Epidemiology
- Biostatistics
Background:
- Cardiovascular diseases (CVDis) are a primary cause of death globally.
- Residual risk persists despite cholesterol-lowering treatments, potentially linked to remnant cholesterol (RC).
- Understanding RC's impact is crucial for refining cardiovascular risk assessment.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the association between remnant cholesterol (RC) and the risk of cardiovascular deaths (CVDs).
- To analyze RC's effect while considering competing risks like cancer deaths (CDs) and other-cause deaths (OCDs).
- To leverage data from two prospective cohort studies for robust estimation.
Main Methods:
- Data from 5729 subjects across two cohorts (1992 and 2005) were analyzed.
- Remnant cholesterol (RC) levels were measured from fasting blood samples at baseline.
- Flexible parametric competing-risks models were employed, using age at death as the time axis.
Main Results:
- A total of 861 deaths were recorded, including 234 CVDs, 245 CDs, and 271 OCDs.
- Elevated RC (≥1.29 mmol/L) was identified as a significant risk factor specifically for CVDs (Risk 2.54).
- A significant trend in CVD risk was observed with increasing RC levels (Trend 1.26).
Conclusions:
- Remnant cholesterol (RC) is a potent, independent predictor of cardiovascular mortality.
- Competing risk analysis effectively differentiates the impact of RC on various mortality outcomes.
- These findings underscore the importance of managing RC for reducing cardiovascular death risk.
Background And Aims:
Cardiovascular diseases (CVDis) are leading causes of morbidity and mortality. Even after the introduction of pharmacological therapy to lower Cholesterol, there is still a residual risk that may be ascribed to remnant cholesterol (RC). We aimed, by analyzing two prospective cohort studies, to estimate the effect of RC on risk and hazard of cardiovascular deaths (CVDs), while accounting for competing risks such as cancer (CDs) and other-causes deaths (OCDs).
Methods And Results:
Cohorts were enrolled in 1992 and 2005. Personal data history was recorded. A fasting venous blood sample was obtained, and RC was calculated at baseline. Cause of Death was coded by using ICD-10th version. Follow-up ended on December 31, 2017. Flexible parametric competing-risks models were applied, with age at death as time-axis. In total, 5729 subjects were enrolled. There were 861 (15.1%) deaths: 234 CVDs (27.2%), 245 CDs (28.5%), 271 OCDs (31.5%) and 111 unknown causes of death (12.8%). RC exposure was a strong risk factor only for CVDs (Risk 2.54, 95% Confidence Interval 1.21; 5.34; Trend 1.26 (1.00; 1.58) for ≥1.29 mmol/L).
Conclusions:
RC is a strong independent risk factor for cardiovascular mortality. Competing risk analysis is demonstrably a useful tool to disentangle associations among different competing events with a common risk factor.
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