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Decreased Threshold of Fasting Serum Glucose for Cardiovascular Events: MASHAD Cohort Study
Fatemeh Sadabadi1, Aida Gholoobi2, Alireza Heidari-Bakavol3
1- Metabolic Syndrome Research Center, School of Medicine, Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, Mashhad, Iran.
Insights
Elevated fasting serum glucose (FSG) is linked to cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk in Iran. A new FSG cutoff of 90 mg/dl can help screen for CVD events in this population.
Area of Science:
- Endocrinology
- Cardiology
- Public Health
Background:
- Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a leading global cause of death, particularly in Iran.
- Diabetes mellitus and dyslipidemia are significant risk factors for CVD.
- Understanding the relationship between glucose levels and CVD is crucial for prevention.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between fasting serum glucose (FSG), lipid profile, and CVD endpoints.
- To determine an optimal FSG cutoff value for predicting CVD in the MASHAD cohort.
- To assess the predictive value of FSG for cardiovascular events in an Iranian population.
Main Methods:
- A 6-year follow-up of MASHAD study participants was conducted.
- Fasting serum glucose, fasting lipids, and physical examination data were collected.
- Receiver operating curve (ROC) analysis was used to identify the optimal FSG cutoff point.
Main Results:
- A MASHAD cutoff of 90 mg/dl for FSG was identified as predictive of CVD outcome.
- This cutoff demonstrated 54.34% sensitivity and 71.68% specificity (AUC=0.665).
- Elevated FSG, using the MASHAD cutoff, was associated with a 2.34-fold increase in CVD risk (HR 2.34).
Conclusions:
- FSG and lipid profiles are significantly related to CVD outcomes in the MASHAD study.
- Elevated fasting glucose levels strongly correlate with cardiovascular events in the Iranian population.
- A fasting glucose threshold of 90 mg/dl is proposed for screening cardiovascular events.
Background:
Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of morbidity and mortality globally, and specifically in Iran. Generally, diabetes mellitus is the result of impaired glucose tolerance which together with dyslipidemia are considered as important risk factors of CVD. The aim of this study was to determine the relationship between fasting serum glucose (FSG), lipid profile and CVD endpoints, and to establish an optimal FSG cut-off in the MASHAD cohort study after nearly 6 years of follow-up.
Methods:
All the participants of MASHAD study were followed up for 6 years to determine their cardiovascular status. FSG, fasting lipids, and physical examinations were all recorded. To identify the optimal cut- off point of FSG, we carried out receiver operating curve (ROC) analysis.
Results:
We determined MASHAD cutoff point of blood glucose as 90 mg/dl predicting the CVD outcome. The sensitivity and specificity of the FSG criterion were 54.34% and 71.68%, respectively. The AUC was 0.665 (95% CI 0.656-0.675, P< 0.0001). The adjusted hazard ratio show that FSG is associated with 2.34 increase in CVD risk using MASHAD cutoff point (HR 2.34, 95% 1.73-3.17, P< 0.001).
Conclusion:
These findings suggest that not only FSG and lipid profile are related to CVD outcome in the MASHAD study, but also elevated fasting glucose levels is strongly associated with cardiovascular events in this population. Besides, the fasting glucose at a threshold of 90 mg/dl can be used for screening cardiovascular events among the Iranian population.
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