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Fading Russian Influence in the Baltic States
1Una Bergmane is a Baltic Sea Fellow at the Foreign Policy Research Institute and a Teaching Fellow at the London School of Economics.
Orbis
|August 25, 2020
Summary
Russia
Area of Science:
- Geopolitics
- International Relations
Background:
- Russia's geopolitical influence in the Baltic states (Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania) has declined over the past two decades.
- This decline is attributed to Russian foreign policy actions and the Baltic states' integration into Western structures.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the diminishing Russian leverage in the Baltic region.
- To examine the factors contributing to this shift in influence.
Main Methods:
- Qualitative analysis of geopolitical trends.
- Review of foreign policy events and regional integration processes.
Main Results:
- Russia's military interventions (Georgia, Ukraine) have alienated Baltic nations.
- The Baltic states' deepening ties with the European Union (EU) and North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) have reduced Russian influence.
- Increased NATO presence and focus on Baltic energy security further diminished Russia's regional leverage.
Conclusions:
- Russia's influence in Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania has significantly decreased due to its foreign policy and the Baltic states' Western integration.
- The Baltic Russian-speaking communities' role in this dynamic warrants further consideration.
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