The progression of non-small cell lung cancer from diagnosis to surgery

The IASLC 8th TNM Staging 8th differentiates between a greater number of T-stages. Resection remains the mainstay of curative treatment with often significant waiting times. This study aims to quantify the T-stage progression and growth of non-small cell lung cancers (NSCLCs) between radiological diagnosis and resection, and its impact on disease recurrence and survival.

A retrospective analysis of NSCLC resections (289) in a high-volume centre between July 01, 2015 and June 30, 2016. Baseline demographics, time from diagnostic CT to surgery, tumour size (cm) and T-stage from diagnostic CT, PET-CT and post-operative histopathology reports were recorded. The primary outcome was increase in T-stage from diagnostic CT to resection. Kaplan-Meier and cox proportional hazard analyses were used to determine recurrence-free survival and survival.

Median increase in tumour size between diagnosis and resection was 0.3 cm (p < 0.0001). Median percentage increase in size was 13%. T-stage increased in 133 (46.0%) patients. N stage increased in 51 patients (17.7%), 32 (11.1%) to N2 disease. Mean survival in those upstaged was 43.5 (39.9-47.1) months versus 53.4 (50.0-56.8) months in patients not upstaged (p = 0.025). Mean recurrence-free survival in those upstaged was 39.1 (35.2-43.0) months versus 47.7 (43.9-51.4) months in patients not upstaged (p = 0.117). Upstaging was independently associated with inferior survival (HR 1.674, p = 0.006) and inferior recurrence-free survival (HR 1.423, p = 0.038).

A significant number of patients are upstaged between diagnostic and resection resulting in reduced survival and recurrence-free survival. A change in management pathways are required to improve outcomes in NSCLC.