Trends in substance use and primary prevention variables among adolescents in Lithuania, 2006-19

Since the implementation of the Icelandic Model for Primary Prevention of Substance Use in Iceland (IPM), substance use has decreased steadily among 14-16-year-old adolescents and primary prevention factors have improved. Although the IPM is being implemented in several other regions around the world, information documenting its effectiveness in other country contexts is lacking. This study assessed trends in substance use and primary prevention variables in three cities in Lithuania following the implementation of the IPM.

Data collected from repeated, comparative cross-sectional self-report surveys conducted among a total of 30 572 10th graders in the cities of Kaunas, Klaipeda and Vilnius, Lithuania, from 2006 to 2019, were analyzed. Cochran-Armitage test for linear trend and analysis of variance for linear trend was used to assess time-trends in prevalence of substance use and mean levels of primary prevention variables over time.

Following the implementation of IPM rates of cigarette smoking and the use of alcohol, cannabis and amphetamine has decreased among 10th graders in Lithuania's three largest cities and simultaneously preventive variables targeted have improved. Similar to Iceland, primary prevention variables were related to substance use in the expected direction, with the exception of organized sports participation, which was not associated with less likelihood of alcohol, cannabis and amphetamine use.

Trends in substance use and primary prevention variables following the implementation of the IPM are similar in the three cities in Lithuania as in Iceland. Further research is needed to better understand the mechanisms underlying these trends.