J-shaped association between fasting blood glucose levels and COVID-19 severity in patients without diabetes

Bing Zhu1, Shengwei Jin2, Lianpeng Wu3

  • 1Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Shanghai Tenth People's Hospital, School of Medicine, Tongji University, Shanghai, China.

Insights

Fasting blood glucose (FBG) levels in non-diabetic COVID-19 patients show a J-shaped association with disease severity. Optimal glucose targets for reducing severe COVID-19 risk are between 4.74-5.78 mmol/L.

Area of Science:

  • Internal Medicine
  • Endocrinology
  • Infectious Diseases

Background:

  • Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a global pandemic.
  • Early prevention measures can reduce COVID-19 mortality.
  • Understanding glycemic control's role in COVID-19 progression is crucial for non-diabetic patients.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the association between fasting blood glucose (FBG) levels and COVID-19 disease progression in patients without diabetes.
  • To identify potential glycemic targets for mitigating severe COVID-19 outcomes.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective, multi-centered study involving 293 COVID-19 patients without diabetes.
  • Multivariate stepwise binary logistic regression analysis was employed.
  • FBG levels were analyzed across quintiles to assess dose-response effects on severe/critical COVID-19 risk.

Main Results:

  • A J-shaped association was observed between FBG levels and the risk of severe or critical COVID-19.
  • The lowest risk for severe/critical COVID-19 was found in the FBG quintile of 4.74-5.21 mmol/L (1.7% severe/critical cases).
  • Significantly increased odds of severe/critical COVID-19 were noted at the lowest (<4.74 mmol/L) and highest (≧7.05 mmol/L) FBG quintiles.

Conclusions:

  • FBG levels exhibit a J-shaped relationship with severe and critical COVID-19 outcomes in non-diabetic patients.
  • The optimal FBG range associated with the lowest risk appears to be 4.74-5.78 mmol/L.
  • These findings suggest potential glycemic targets for managing COVID-19 in non-diabetic individuals.
Abstract

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