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Predictive value of the sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score for prognosis in patients with severe acute
Wei Qin1, Xiaoyu Zhang2, Lei Yang1
1Department of Neurology, Beijing Chao-Yang Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Objective:
To identify the risk factors for early death and determine the predictive value of the sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score for prognosis of severe acute ischemic stroke (AIS).
Methods:
A total of 110 patients with severe AIS were enrolled and divided into the non-survivor (n = 34) and survivor groups (n = 76). Logistic regression analysis was conducted to identify risk factors for early death, while the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve was used to determine the predictive effect of the SOFA score on prognosis.
Results:
Logistic regression analysis showed that urinary tract infection (odds ratio [OR] = 17.364, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.903-158.427), mechanical ventilation (OR = 1.754, 95% CI: 1.648-2.219), and osmotic therapy (OR = 2.835, 95% CI: 1.871-5.102) were significantly correlated with early death of severe AIS. ROC curve analysis of the area under the curve after hospitalization showed that the maximum SOFA and ΔSOFA scores exceeded 0.7.
Conclusion:
Our study shows that urinary tract infection, mechanical ventilation, and osmotic therapy are risk factors for early death of severe AIS. The SOFA score has good predictive value for prognosis of severe AIS. These findings may provide a guideline for improving clinical outcome.
