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Epidemic features of coronavirus disease 2019 in Hunan Province
Yitao Mao1, Huihui Zeng2, Ying Wang3
1Department of Radiology, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha 410008, China. maoyt@csu.edu.cn.
Insights
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Hunan Province showed epidemic features with 1,018 cases by March 14, 2020. Localized strategies helped control the spread effectively.
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Public Health
- Infectious Disease Dynamics
Background:
- The emergence of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) presented a significant global health challenge.
- Understanding regional epidemic characteristics is crucial for effective public health interventions.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the epidemic features of COVID-19 in Hunan Province, China.
- To investigate the spatial and temporal distribution of COVID-19 cases within Hunan Province's cities.
Main Methods:
- Utilized official data from Hunan Province's Health Commission for the period of January 21 to March 14, 2020.
- Employed ArcGIS software for spatial analysis of cumulative confirmed cases and occurrence rates across cities.
- Compared regional epidemic indicators with national averages, excluding Hubei Province.
Main Results:
- The epidemic peak in Hunan Province was observed around February 17, 2020, with 1,018 cumulative confirmed cases by March 14.
- The cumulative occurrence rate was 0.48 per 0.1 million persons, with 150 severe cases and 4 deaths.
- Hunan Province reported a lower mortality rate (0.39%) and a higher cure rate (99.6%) compared to national averages (excluding Hubei).
- Changsha, Yueyang, and Shaoyang had the highest numbers of confirmed cases, while Changsha, Yueyang, and Zhuzhou led in cumulative occurrence rates.
Conclusions:
- COVID-19 spread in Hunan Province was managed effectively, indicating successful implementation of control measures.
- Cities within Hunan Province adopted tailored anti-disease strategies, contributing to keeping the epidemic within controllable limits.
Objectives:
To explore and analyze the epidemic features of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Hunan Province from January 21, 2020 to March 14, 2020, as well as to investigate the COVID-19 epidemics in each city of Hunan Province.
Methods:
The epidemic data was obtained from the official website of Hunan Province's Health Commission. The data of each city of Hunan Province was analyzed separately. Spatial distribution of cumulative confirmed COVID-19 patients and the cumulative occurrence rate was drawn by ArcGIS software for each city in Hunan Province. Some regional indexes were also compared with that in the whole country.
Results:
The first patient was diagnosed in January 21, sustained patient growth reached its plateau in around February 17. Up to March 14, the cumulative confirmed COVID-19 patients stopped at 1 018. The cumulative occurrence rate of COVID-19 patients was 0.48 per 0.1 million person. The number of cumulative severe patients was 150 and the number of cumulative dead patients was 4. The mortality rate (0.39%) and the cure rate (99.6%) in Hunan Province was significantly lower and higher respectively than the corresponding average rate in the whole country (0.90% and 96.2%, Hubei excluded). The first 3 cities in numbers of the confirmed patients were Changsha, Yueyang, and Shaoyang. While sorted by the cumulative occurrence rate, the first 3 cities in incidence were Changsha, Yueyang, and Zhuzhou.
Conclusions:
The epidemic of COVID-19 spread out smoothly in Hunan Province. The cities in Hunan Province implement anti-disease strategies based on specific situations on their own and keep the epidemic in the range of controllable.
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