Where the Other Half Dies: Analysis of Mortalities Occurring More Than 30 Days After Complex Cancer Surgery

Nearly half of operative mortalities occur outside the traditionally studied 30-day period after surgery. To identify additional opportunities to improve surgical safety, the circumstances of deaths occurring 31-90 days after complex cancer surgery are analyzed.

Patients aged ≥ 65 years who died within 90 days of complex cancer surgery for nonmetastatic cancer were analyzed in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-Medicare and the Connecticut Tumor Registry (CTR) databases.

Of the 36,114 patients undergoing complex cancer surgery from 2004 to 2013 in SEER-Medicare, 1367 (3.8%) died within 31-90 days ("late mortalities"). Seventy-eight percent of late mortalities were readmitted prior to death. The highest proportion of late mortalities occurred during a readmission (49%), and 11% were never discharged from their index admission. Cause of death (COD) was largely attributed to the malignancy itself (56%), which is unlikely to be the underlying cause. Of the noncancer COD, cardiac causes were most frequent (34%), followed by pulmonary causes (18%). Death was rarely attributed to thromboembolic disease (< 1%). The CTR provided location of death, which was most commonly in a hospital (65%) or nursing facility (20%); death at home was rare (6%).

The vast majority of patients dying between 31 and 90 days of surgery were admitted to a hospital or nursing facility at the time of their death after initially being discharged, and few patients died at home. Greater clarity in death documentation is needed to identify specific opportunities to rescue patients from fatal complications arising in the later postoperative period.