Diagnostic Accuracy of Donor-derived Cell-free DNA in Renal-allograft Rejection: A Meta-analysis

Donor-derived cell-free DNA (dd-cfDNA) is a potential noninvasive molecular marker of graft rejection after kidney transplant, whose diagnostic accuracy remains controversial.

We performed a systematic review and metaanalysis to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of dd-cfDNA. Relevant literature was searched from online databases, and the data on the diagnostic accuracy of discriminating main rejection episodes (MRE) and antibody-mediated rejection (AMR) were merged, respectively.

Nine studies were included in the metaanalysis, of which 6 were focused on the diagnostic accuracy of dd-cfDNA for MRE, whose pooled sensitivity, specificity, area under the receiver operating characteristics curve, diagnostic odds ratio, overall positive likelihood ratio, and negative likelihood ratio with 95% confidence intervals were 0.70 (0.57-0.81), 0.78 (0.70-0.84), 0.81 (0.77-0.84), 8.18 (5.11-13.09), 3.15 (2.47-4.02), and 0.39 (0.27-0.55), respectively. Five tests were focused on discriminating AMR, whose pooled indicators were 0.84 (0.75-0.90), 0.80 (0.74-0.84), 0.89 (0.86-0.91), 20.48 (10.76-38.99), 4.13(3.21-5.33), and 0.20(0.12-0.33), respectively.

Donor-derived cell-free DNA can be a helpful marker for the diagnosis of AMR among those recipients suspected of renal dysfunction. Its diagnostic accuracy on the MRE remains uncertain, which requires further prospective, large-scale, multicenter, and common population research.