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Frailty and outcomes from pneumonia in critical illness: a population-based cohort study
Jai N Darvall1, Rinaldo Bellomo2, Michael Bailey3
1Department of Intensive Care, Royal Melbourne Hospital, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; Centre for Integrated Critical Care, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Background:
A threshold Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) of 5 (indicating mild frailty) has been proposed to guide ICU admission for UK patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pneumonia. However, the impact of frailty on mortality with (non-COVID-19) pneumonia in critical illness is unknown. We examined the triage utility of the CFS in patients with pneumonia requiring ICU.
Methods:
We conducted a retrospective cohort study of adult patients admitted with pneumonia to 170 ICUs in Australia and New Zealand from January 1, 2018 to September 31, 2019. We classified patients as: non-frail (CFS 1-4) frail (CFS 5-8), mild/moderately frail (CFS 5-6),and severe/very severely frail (CFS 7-8). We evaluated mortality (primary outcome) adjusting for site, age, sex, mechanical ventilation, pneumonia type and illness severity. We also compared the proportion of ICU bed-days occupied between frailty categories.
Results:
1852/5607 (33%) patients were classified as frail, including1291/3056 (42%) of patients aged >65 yr, who would potentially be excluded from ICU admission under UK-based COVID-19 triage guidelines. Only severe/very severe frailty scores were associated with mortality (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] for CFS=7: 3.2; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.3-7.8; CFS=8 [aOR: 7.2; 95% CI: 2.6-20.0]). These patients accounted for 7% of ICU bed days. Vulnerability (CFS=4) and mild frailty (CFS=5) were associated with a similar mortality risk (CFS=4 [OR: 1.6; 95% CI: 0.7-3.8]; CFS=5 [OR: 1.6; 95% CI: 0.7-3.9]).
Conclusions:
Patients with severe and very severe frailty account for relatively few ICU bed days as a result of pneumonia, whilst adjusted mortality analysis indicated little difference in risk between patients in vulnerable, mild, and moderate frailty categories. These data do not support CFS ≥5 to guide ICU admission for pneumonia.
Insights
Severe frailty (CFS 7-8) significantly increases mortality risk in pneumonia patients requiring ICU care. However, mild frailty (CFS 5-6) does not warrant ICU exclusion, challenging current UK COVID-19 triage guidelines.
Area of Science:
- Critical Care Medicine
- Geriatrics
- Epidemiology
Background:
- A UK threshold of Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) 5 for ICU admission in COVID-19 pneumonia is debated.
- The impact of frailty on mortality in non-COVID-19 pneumonia requiring ICU admission is not well understood.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the utility of the Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) in predicting mortality for patients with pneumonia admitted to the ICU.
- To assess the association between frailty levels and ICU resource utilization.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective cohort study of 5607 adult pneumonia patients across 170 ICUs in Australia and New Zealand (2018-2019).
- Patients categorized by CFS: non-frail (1-4), frail (5-8), mild/moderate (5-6), severe/very severe (7-8).
- Mortality and ICU bed-day occupancy analyzed, adjusting for covariates.
Main Results:
- 33% of patients were classified as frail; 42% of those >65 years old.
- Severe/very severe frailty (CFS 7-8) was linked to significantly increased mortality (aOR 3.2-7.2).
- Mild frailty (CFS 5) and vulnerability (CFS 4) showed similar mortality risks (OR 1.6).
Conclusions:
- Severe frailty is associated with higher mortality in pneumonia patients.
- Mild frailty does not appear to be a significant predictor of increased mortality.
- Current CFS thresholds (≥5) may not be appropriate for guiding ICU admission decisions for pneumonia.
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