Time-dependent lymphocyte count after transplantation is associated with higher risk of graft failure and death

The transplantation field requires the identification of specific risk factors associated with the level of immunosuppression. Here, our aim was to analyze the association between the number of circulating lymphocytes, monitored routinely by complete blood cell counts during outpatient visits, and patient and graft survival. In total, 2,999 kidney or combined kidney-pancreas recipients transplanted between 2000 and 2016, from two University hospitals, were enrolled. We investigated the etiological relationship between time-dependent lymphocyte count beyond one year after transplantation and patient and graft survival, viral infection and cancer risk using time-dependent multivariate Cox models. Model 1 considered kidney function at one year and model 2 as time-dependent variable. At the time of inclusion (one year after transplantation), 584 patients (19.4%) had deep lymphopenia (under 750 /mm³) and 1,072 (35.7%) had a normal count (over 1,500 /mm³). A patient with deep lymphopenia at a given follow-up time had significantly higher risks of graft failure, death and viral infection than comparable patients with a normal lymphocyte count at the same time point. Thus, after the first year of transplantation, the occurrence of deep lymphopenia within a patient's follow-up is a risk factor for long-term graft failure, death and viral infection.