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Updated: Dec 9, 2025

Predicting the Effectiveness of Population Replacement Strategy Using Mathematical Modeling
Published on: July 4, 2007
Evolution of stability of socioeconomic system functioning: Some approaches to modeling (with an application to the
Sergey Malkov1, Kira Meshcherina2, Andrey Korotayev3
1National Research University Higher School of Economics, Moscow, Russia; Institute of Economics of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia.
Abstract:
This paper proposes a methodological approach to analyzing the evolution of the stability of socioeconomic systems and to assessing the risk of their possible destabilization based on the use of mathematical modeling methods. In this paper, a basic model is presented allowing us to describe the joint dynamics of processes in the economic, organizational, and sociopsychological areas of society. The model shows at what parameters of the socioeconomic system its steady functioning is possible, and at which it is impossible. It is shown that the transition from its steady state to an unsteady one is not smooth but occurs as a leap. This methodology is applied to the analysis of stability and change in the Egyptian socioeconomic system after 2010.
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