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How does industrial restructuring influence carbon emissions: City-level evidence from China
Xiuxiu Zheng1, Ran Wang2, Qirui Du3
1School of International Trade and Economics, University of International Business and Economics, No. 10, Huixin Dongjie, Beijing, 100029, China.
Industrial restructuring can fail carbon reduction goals if emission-heavy sectors aren't controlled. Focusing on these key sectors, not just economic growth, is crucial for successful emission mitigation.
Area of Science:
- Environmental Economics
- Industrial Ecology
- Climate Change Mitigation
Background:
- Industrial restructuring is a common strategy for carbon emission mitigation.
- However, its effectiveness varies, and some transitions fail to meet climate goals.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate why industrial restructuring sometimes fails to achieve carbon emission mitigation.
- To analyze city-level carbon dioxide emission reduction performance under different industrial restructuring scenarios.
Main Methods:
- Utilized the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) decomposition method.
- Categorized industry segments into emission-dominating and non-emission-dominating groups.
- Analyzed city-level data across distinct industrial restructuring directions in China.
Main Results:
- Emission-dominating segments are largely consistent across Chinese cities, irrespective of city type.
- Identifying and controlling emission-dominating segments, rather than economic leaders, is key for emission reduction.
- Restructuring towards services or non-emission-dominating segments yields better results than towards non-emission-dominating ones.
Conclusions:
- Industrial restructuring must prioritize controlling the output scale of emission-dominating segments.
- Rushing towards services without controlling emission-heavy industries risks failing mitigation goals.
- Cities should identify emission-dominating segments, control their scale, and improve energy efficiency where necessary.
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