A novel MRI-based predictive index can identify patients suitable for preservation of the nipple-areola complex in...

Accurately predicting nipple-areola complex (NAC) involvement in breast cancer is necessary for identifying patients who may be candidates for a nipple-sparing mastectomy. Although multiple risk factors are indicated in the guidelines, it is difficult to predict NAC involvement (NAC-i) preoperatively even if these factors are evaluated individually. This study aimed to develop a more accurate and practical preoperative NAC-i prediction model using magnetic resonance imaging (MRI).

All tumors in 252 patients were evaluated using postcontrast T1-weighted subtraction on MRI.

The receiver operating characteristic curves identified cut-off values for tumor size and tumor-to-nipple distance (TND) as 4 cm and 1.2 cm, respectively. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that TND (p < 0.001), ductal enhancement extending to the nipple (DEEN) (p < 0.001), and nipple enhancement (NE) (p = 0.005) were independent clinical risk factors for pathological NAC-i. A formula was constructed using odds ratios for these three independent preoperative risk factors in multivariate analysis: the MRI-based NAC-i predictive index (mNACPI) = TND × 4 + DEEN × 3 + NE × 1. A total score of ≤4 points was defined as low risk and ≥5 points as high risk. NAC-i rates were 2.4% in the low-risk group and 89.4% in the high-risk group; a significant correlation was observed between the risk group and permanent pathological NAC-i (p < 0.001). Assuming that the NAC was preserved in low-risk patients and resected in high-risk patients, NAC-i was verified using the mNACPI.

mNACPI may contribute greatly to the improvement of selecting suitable patients for NAC preservation in breast reconstructive surgery while maintaining oncological safety.