Predictive factors of lateral lymph node metastasis in conventional papillary thyroid carcinoma

Lymph node metastasis (LNM) has been a significant predictor for local recurrence and distant metastasis in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). However, the clinical predictors for conventional papillary thyroid carcinoma (CPTC) with lateral lymph node metastasis (LLNM) have yet to be established. Our work aimed to effectively identify the risk factors of LLNM in CPTC, helping surgeons to devise better individualized therapy strategies.

We retrospectively analyzed 652 patients who were diagnosed with CPTC in the Department of General Surgery at Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital between October 2015 and June 2019. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression was used to analyze the correlation between clinicopathological characteristics and the LLNM of CPTC.

The incidence of LLNM in CPTC was 29.75% (194 of 652 patients). Univariate analysis found that LLNM was significantly associated with gender, age, number of central lymph nodes (CLNs), primary tumor location, multifocality, maximum tumor diameter, and BRAF V600E mutation. Independent risk factors for LLNM were multifocality (P=0.017, OR =4.325, 95% CI: 1.298-14.408), maximum tumor diameter (P<0.001, OR =4.076, 95% CI: 1.945-8.540), primary tumor location (P=0.037, OR =2.127, 95% CI: 1.046-4.328), number of CLNs (P<0.001, OR =8.604, 95% CI: 3.630-20.390), and BRAF V600E mutation (P=0.001, OR =3.913, 95% CI: 1.803-8.496) by multivariate analysis.

LLNM in CPTC was related to the large volume of central lymph node metastasis (CLNM), tumor located in the upper lobe, multifocality, tumor diameter >2 cm, and BRAF V600E mutation-negative, which should be considered when examining patients with suspected metastasis in the lateral compartment.