Early Prediction of Tumor Response to Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy and Clinical Outcome in Breast Cancer Using a Novel...

Cancer stem cells (CSCs) contribute to chemoresistance and tumor relapse. By using the distinct metabolic phenotype of CSC, we designed novel PET parameters for CSC metabolism and investigated their clinical values. Patients with breast cancer who underwent ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT before neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) were retrospectively included. We developed a method to measure CSC metabolism using standardized uptake value histogram data. The predictive value of novel CSC metabolic parameters for pathologic complete response (pCR) was assessed with multivariable logistic regression. The association between the CSC parameter and disease-free survival (DFS) was also determined. We identified 82 patients with HER2-positive/triple-negative subtypes and 38 patients with luminal tumors. After multivariable analysis, only metabolic tumor volume for CSC (MTVcsc) among metabolic parameters remained the independent predictor of pCR (OR, 0.12; p = 0.022). MTVcsc successfully predicted pathologic tumor response to NAC in HER2-positive/triple-negative subtypes (accuracy, 74%) but not in the luminal subtype (accuracy, 29%). MTVcsc was also predictive of DFS, with a 3-year DFS of 90% in the lower MTVcsc group (<1.75 cm³) versus 72% in the higher group (>1.75 cm³). A novel data-driven PET parameter for CSC metabolism provides early prediction of pCR after NAC and DFS in HER2-positive and triple-negative subtypes.