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Anomalous supply shortages from dynamic pricing in on-demand mobility
Malte Schröder1,2, David-Maximilian Storch3, Philip Marszal4,3
1Center for Advancing Electronics Dresden (cfaed), Technical University of Dresden, 01062, Dresden, Germany. malte.schroeder@tu-dresden.de.
Dynamic pricing can paradoxically cause supply shortages in ride-hailing services. This study reveals conditions where pricing strategies trigger driver behavior leading to imbalances, not equilibrium.
Area of Science:
- Complex Systems Science
- Game Theory
- Transportation Economics
Background:
- Dynamic pricing is widely used to balance demand and supply.
- Complex systems can exhibit unintended collective behaviors that disrupt intended functions.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate how dynamic pricing in ride-hailing services can lead to demand-supply imbalances.
- To identify the conditions under which dynamic pricing induces supply shortages.
Main Methods:
- Game theory modeling to understand driver incentives.
- Time series analysis of dynamic pricing data from global ride-hailing services.
- Derivation of a phase diagram to illustrate conditions for supply anomalies.
Main Results:
- Dynamic pricing can incentivize collective driver actions that create artificial supply shortages.
- Specific patterns in price dynamics correlate with these anomalous supply shortages.
- Analysis of data from 137 global locations reveals consistent patterns.
Conclusions:
- Dynamic pricing may not always achieve demand-supply balance and can instead cause shortages.
- Understanding the conditions for anomalous supply shortages is crucial for regulating dynamic pricing in mobility systems.
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