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Validation of the NUE Rule to Predict Futile Resuscitation of Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest
Insights
The NUE rule, identifying patients with non-shockable rhythm, unwitnessed arrest, and age 80+, accurately predicted futile resuscitation in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) cases. This tool can guide emergency medical services (EMS) in withholding aggressive interventions when survival is unlikely.
Area of Science:
- Emergency Medicine
- Cardiology
- Public Health
Background:
- Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) presents significant resuscitation challenges.
- Predicting futile resuscitation is crucial for optimizing emergency medical services (EMS) resource allocation.
- The NUE rule (Non-shockable rhythm, Unwitnessed arrest, Eighty years or older) was developed to identify OHCA patients with extremely low survival probability.
Purpose of the Study:
- To validate the predictive performance of the NUE rule in an independent cohort of OHCA patients.
- To assess the NUE rule's utility in identifying patients unlikely to survive to hospital discharge.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective cohort analysis of OHCA cases in Marion County, Indiana (2014-2019).
- Inclusion of patient demographics, arrest characteristics, and EMS response data.
- Evaluation of the NUE rule's accuracy in predicting survival outcomes.
Main Results:
- The study analyzed 4370 OHCA cases, with 329 excluded due to incomplete data.
- The NUE rule identified 290 cases (7.2%) as unlikely to survive.
- None of the patients identified by the NUE rule survived to hospital discharge.
Conclusions:
- The NUE rule demonstrated strong performance in external validation, accurately identifying OHCA patients with negligible survival chances.
- The findings support the integration of the NUE rule into EMS protocols to guide decisions regarding aggressive resuscitation efforts.
- Utilizing the NUE rule can help ensure resources are directed towards patients with a higher likelihood of positive outcomes.
Aim:
We validated the NUE rule, using three criteria (Non-shockable initial rhythm, Unwitnessed arrest, Eighty years or older) to predict futile resuscitation of patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA).
Methods:
We performed a retrospective cohort analysis of all recorded OHCA in Marion County, Indiana, from January 1, 2014 to December 31, 2019. We described patient, arrest, and emergency medical services (EMS) response characteristics, and assessed the performance of the NUE rule in identifying patients unlikely to survive to hospital discharge.
Results:
From 2014 to 2019, EMS responded to 4370 patients who sustained OHCA. We excluded 329 (7.5%) patients with incomplete data. Median patient age was 62 years (IQR 49 - 73), 1599 (39.6%) patients were female, and 1728 (42.8%) arrests were witnessed. The NUE rule identified 290 (7.2%) arrests, of whom none survived to hospital discharge.
Conclusion:
In external validation, the NUE rule (Non-shockable initial rhythm, Unwitnessed arrest, Eighty years or older) correctly identified 7.2% of OHCA patients unlikely to survive to hospital discharge. The NUE rule could be used in EMS protocols and policies to identify OHCA patients very unlikely to benefit from aggressive resuscitation.
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