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Quantitative Analysis of Random Migration of Cells Using Time-lapse Video Microscopy

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Spatial-temporal trends in forced migrant mortality, 2014-2018.

Danielle N Poole^1,2, Bethany Hedt-Gauthier^3,4, Till Bärnighausen^5,6

¹Neukom Institute for Computational Science, Dartmouth College, Hanover, New Hampshire, USA dani.poole@dartmouth.edu.

BMJ Global Health

|October 10, 2020

Summary

Forced migrant deaths show distinct spatial-temporal clusters, often occurring at sea or near borders. Understanding these patterns is crucial for developing effective humanitarian policies and interventions.

Keywords:

epidemiology health policy prevention strategies public Health

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Area of Science:

Public Health
Geospatial Analysis
Forced Migration Studies

Background:

Identifying spatial-temporal patterns in forced migrant mortality is critical for informing policy and humanitarian aid.
Previous research has not comprehensively analyzed the global geography of forced migrant deaths.

Purpose of the Study:

To investigate global spatial-temporal patterns of forced migrant mortality.
To identify clusters and temporal trends in deaths among forced migrants.

Main Methods:

Utilized data from the International Organization for Migration's Missing Migrant Project (2014-2018).
Applied Kulldorff's spatial-temporal and seasonal scan statistics to detect mortality clusters and temporal variations.

Main Results:

A total of 16,314 forced migrant deaths were recorded between 2014 and 2018.
A significant proportion of deaths occurred at sea annually (26%-54%).
Twelve spatial-temporal clusters of mortality were identified, with a heightened risk observed from August to October.

Conclusions:

Forced migrant deaths are concentrated spatially near national borders and temporally during periods of intense conflict.
Findings can guide policy development and intervention strategies to reduce forced migration-related fatalities.