Different pattern of the second outbreak of COVID-19 in Marseille, France

Philippe Gautret1, Philippe Colson2, Jean Christophe Lagier2

  • 1IHU Méditerranée Infection, 19-21 boulevard Jean Moulin, 13005 Marseille, France; Aix Marseille Univ, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD), Assistance Publique - Hôpitaux de Marseille (AP-HM), Service de Santé des Armées (SSA), Vecteurs - Infections Tropicales et Méditerranéennes (VITROME), Marseille, France.

Abstract

Insights

COVID-19 patients in summer 2020 were younger, more male, and had lower severity markers than those in spring. This shift correlated with a tenfold decrease in COVID-19 lethality, indicating a milder disease presentation over time.

Area of Science:

  • Infectious Diseases
  • Epidemiology
  • Virology

Background:

  • The COVID-19 pandemic presented evolving clinical characteristics and patient demographics since its emergence.
  • Understanding temporal shifts in disease presentation is crucial for public health preparedness and clinical management.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To compare the clinical and demographic characteristics of COVID-19 patients in Marseille, France, during two distinct periods in 2020: March-April and June-August.
  • To identify any changes in disease severity and patient outcomes between these timeframes.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective analysis of patient data including demographics, hospitalization rates, intensive care unit (ICU) transfers, and lethality.
  • Evaluation of clinical and biological parameters such as fibrinogen, D-dimer levels, and viral load (cycle threshold).

Main Results:

  • Patients in June-August were younger (mean 39.2 vs. 45.3 years) and more frequently male (52.9% vs. 45.6%) compared to March-April.
  • Hospitalization (10.7% vs. 18.0%), ICU transfer (0.9% vs. 1.8%), and death (0.1% vs. 1.1%) rates were significantly lower in the summer period.
  • Lower mean fibrinogen and D-dimer levels were observed in summer patients, alongside a higher viral load (CT ≤16: 5.1% vs. 3.7%).

Conclusions:

  • While age and sex distributions showed minor differences, markers of COVID-19 severity were less prevalent in the summer of 2020.
  • A substantial decrease in lethality (approximately tenfold) was associated with the milder disease presentation observed in the later period.

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