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Can Labor Market Policies Reduce Deaths of Despair?
William H Dow1, Anna Godøy2, Christopher Lowenstein3
1Division of Health Policy and Management, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, United States; National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, Massachusettes, United States.
Abstract:
Do minimum wages and the earned income tax credit (EITC) mitigate rising "deaths of despair?" We leverage state variation in these policies over time to estimate event study and difference-in-differences models of deaths due to drug overdose, suicide, and alcohol-related causes. Our causal models find no significant effects on drug or alcohol-related mortality, but do find significant reductions in non-drug suicides. A 10 percent minimum wage increase reduces non-drug suicides among low-educated adults by 2.7 percent, and the comparable EITC figure is 3.0 percent. Placebo tests and event-study models support our causal research design. Increasing both policies by 10 percent would likely prevent a combined total of more than 700 suicides each year.
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