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Updated: Dec 6, 2025

Using the Threat Probability Task to Assess Anxiety and Fear During Uncertain and Certain Threat
Published on: September 12, 2014
Trait anxiety is linked to increased usage of priors in a perceptual decision making task
N Kraus1, M Niedeggen2, G Hesselmann3
1Psychologische Hochschule Berlin (PHB), 10179 Berlin, Germany; Freie Universität Berlin, 14195 Berlin, Germany.
Abstract:
Current predictive processing accounts consider negative affect to result from elevated rates of prediction error, thereby motivating changes in the degree with which prior expectancies and sensory evidence influence our perceptions. Trait anxiety is associated with the amount of negative affect a person is experiencing and has been linked to aberrant strategies in decision making and belief updating. Here, we assessed the degree to which induced prior expectancies influenced motion judgements in a simple perceptual decision making task in 117 healthy participants with varying levels of trait anxiety. High trait anxious individuals showed increased usage of priors, independent from the amount of sensory uncertainty that was perceived. This finding demonstrates aberrant strategies of belief updating in anxiety even in evaluating nonthreatening visual motion stimuli, and thus suggest an influential role of affective traits in processes of perceptual inference.
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