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Updated: Dec 5, 2025

Predictive Immune Modeling of Solid Tumors
Published on: February 25, 2020
Identification and Utilization of Biomarkers to Predict Response to Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors
Ole Gjoerup1,2, Charlotte A Brown3, Jeffrey S Ross3,4
1Foundation Medicine, Inc, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA. ogjoerup@foundationmedicine.com.
Abstract:
Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICPI) have revolutionized cancer therapy and provided clinical benefit to thousands of patients. Despite durable responses in many tumor types, the majority of patients either fail to respond at all or develop resistance to the ICPI. Furthermore, ICPI treatment can be accompanied by serious adverse effects. There is an urgent need for identification of patient populations that will benefit from ICPI as single agents and when used in combinations. As ICPI have achieved regulatory approvals, accompanying biomarkers including PD-L1 immunohistochemistry (IHC) and tumor mutational burden (TMB) have also received approvals for some indications. The ICPI pembrolizumab was the first example of a tissue-agnostic FDA approval based on tumor microsatellite instability (MSI)/deficient mismatch repair (dMMR) biomarker status, rather than on tumor histology assessment. Several other ICPI-associated biomarkers are in the exploratory stage, including quantification of tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs), gene expression profiling (GEP) of an inflamed microenvironment, and neoantigen prediction. TMB and PD-L1 expression can predict a subset of responses, but they fail to predict all responses to checkpoint blockade. While a single biomarker is currently limited in its ability to fully capture the complexity of the tumor-immune microenvironment, a combination of biomarkers is emerging as a method to improve predictive power. Here we review the steadily growing impact of comprehensive genomic profiling (CGP) for development and utilization of predictive biomarkers by simultaneously capturing TMB, MSI, and the status of genomic targets that confer sensitivity or resistance to immunotherapy, as well as detecting inflammation through RNA expression signatures.
Insights
Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICPI) offer cancer treatment benefits but have limited response rates. Comprehensive genomic profiling (CGP) is crucial for identifying patient populations likely to respond to ICPI therapy.
Area of Science:
- Oncology
- Immunotherapy
- Genomics
Background:
- Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICPI) have transformed cancer therapy, yet many patients do not respond or develop resistance.
- Adverse effects associated with ICPI necessitate better patient selection strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To review the impact of comprehensive genomic profiling (CGP) in developing predictive biomarkers for ICPI therapy.
- To highlight the limitations of single biomarkers and the potential of combined approaches.
Main Methods:
- Review of current ICPI-associated biomarkers, including PD-L1 IHC, tumor mutational burden (TMB), microsatellite instability (MSI)/deficient mismatch repair (dMMR), tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs), and gene expression profiling (GEP).
- Discussion of comprehensive genomic profiling (CGP) for simultaneous assessment of TMB, MSI, genomic targets, and RNA expression signatures.
Main Results:
- PD-L1 and TMB predict responses in a subset of patients but are insufficient for comprehensive prediction.
- Tissue-agnostic approval based on MSI/dMMR status exemplifies biomarker-driven therapy.
- CGP offers a multi-faceted approach to capture tumor-immune microenvironment complexity.
Conclusions:
- A combination of biomarkers, particularly those assessed through CGP, is essential for improving predictive power in ICPI therapy.
- CGP facilitates the simultaneous capture of multiple biomarkers, enhancing patient stratification for immunotherapy.

