Biomarker-enhanced VTE risk stratification in ambulatory patients with cancer

Risk assessment models are used to stratify cancer patients according to their underlying risk of VTE. The CATS score has been shown to enhance VTE risk stratification as compared to the modified Khorana score by incorporating d-dimer and soluble p-selectin measurements. Our aim was to evaluate the performance of the CATS score with respect to VTE risk stratification.

Analysis of a subset of the AVERT trial population for whom biomarker data was available. All patients included in the AVERT trial were at increased risk of VTE based on a modified Khorana score of ≥2. Patients were stratified according to the modified Khorana score and CATS score. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to calculate the 6-month cumulative probabilities of VTE.

A total of 466 patients were included in the analysis, 229 and 237 patients in the placebo and apixaban arms, respectively. The 6-month cumulative probability of VTE among patients with a modified Khorana score ≥ 3 was 13% [95% CI 7 to 23], whereas it was 20% [95% CI 11 to 35] for patients with a CATS score ≥ 4. The absolute risk reduction achieved with apixaban VTE prophylaxis among patients with modified Khorana ≥2, modified Khorana ≥3 and CATS ≥4 was -5.9% [-10.9 to -0.8], -5.8% [-16.0 to 4.5] and -10.1% [-22.9 to 2.6], respectively. Apixaban VTE prophylaxis among patients with increasing modified Khorana or CATS scores was not associated with an increased risk of bleeding events.

The use of a CATS score of ≥4 to identify ambulatory cancer patients at very high risk of VTE could enhance the benefit/risk ratio achieved with apixaban VTE prophylaxis.