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Serum potassium as a predictor of adverse clinical outcomes in patients with increasing comorbidity burden
Eskinder Tafesse1, Michael Hurst2, Daniel Sugrue2
1Global Health Economics, AstraZeneca, 101 Orchard Ridge Drive, Gaithersburg, MD, USA, 20878.
Insights
Patients with multiple health conditions face a higher risk of hyperkalemia (high potassium), a dangerous electrolyte imbalance. This condition also increases the likelihood of adverse outcomes like mortality and cardiovascular events.
Area of Science:
- Nephrology
- Cardiology
- Internal Medicine
Background:
- Hyperkalemia (HK) is a serious electrolyte imbalance.
- Multiple comorbidities are common in patients with conditions like resistant hypertension, chronic kidney disease, heart failure, and diabetes.
- The relationship between multimorbidity and HK risk is not fully understood.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the risk of hyperkalemia (HK) in patients with multiple comorbidities.
- To assess the association between multimorbidity and adverse clinical outcomes, including all-cause mortality (ACM) and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE).
Main Methods:
- Retrospective, observational cohort study using UK primary and secondary care data.
- Included adult patients with at least one of: resistant hypertension, CKD stage 3+, dialysis, HF, or diabetes.
- Patients were grouped into overlapping cohorts based on diagnoses and tracked for incident HK, ACM, and MACE.
Main Results:
- A U-shaped association was found between serum potassium levels and the incidence of ACM and MACE.
- Hyperkalemia (serum K+ ≥5.0 mmol/L) incidence increased significantly with higher Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) scores.
- Patients with CCI ≥6 had a 6.2-fold higher crude incidence of HK compared to those with CCI <3.
Conclusions:
- Higher comorbidity burden, indicated by CCI, is linked to increased hyperkalemia risk.
- Patients with higher CCI are more susceptible to adverse outcomes associated with abnormal serum potassium levels.
- Increased routine clinical monitoring is recommended for patients with multiple comorbidities and abnormal potassium levels.
Aims:
The aim of this study was to establish whether patients with multiple comorbidities may be at elevated risk of hyperkalaemia (HK), a potentially life-threatening electrolyte imbalance, and the associated adverse clinical outcomes.
Methods And Results:
This was a retrospective, observational cohort study using UK primary and secondary care data. Adult patients with at least one of: resistant hypertension, chronic kidney disease stage 3+, dialysis, heart failure (HF), and diabetes, were eligible for inclusion. According to their diagnoses, patients were grouped into overlapping cohorts that were updated as multimorbidity progressed. Outcomes of interest were incident HK, all-cause mortality (ACM), and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). A total of 673 686 patients met the eligibility criteria, 36.3% of whom developed multimorbidity during the study period. A consistent U-shaped association was observed between serum K+ level and adjusted incidence of ACM and MACE. Hyperkalaemia was progressively more common with increasing Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI). Relative to a CCI <3, scores of ≥3 to <6, and ≥6 were associated with 2.9- and 6.2-fold increases, respectively, in crude HK (serum K+ ≥5.0 mmol/L) incidence rate. In all condition-based cohorts except for HF, there was a clear correlation between increasing CCI and the risk of ACM and MACE associated with hypokalaemia and HK.
Conclusion:
Patients with a higher CCI are at an increased risk of developing HK and appear more prone to adverse clinical outcomes associated with abnormal serum K+ levels, warranting additional routine clinical monitoring.
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