A model based on CT radiomic features for predicting RT-PCR becoming negative in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)

Quan Cai1, Si-Yao Du2, Si Gao2

  • 1Department of Emergency Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of China Medical University, Nanjing North Street 155, Shenyang, 110001, Liaoning Province, China.

BMC Medical Imaging
|October 21, 2020
PubMed

Insights

A new model using chest CT radiomic features and clinical data can predict negative reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) results in COVID-19 patients. This approach aids in determining the optimal timing for repeat RT-PCR testing, reducing hospital stays and medical waste.

Area of Science:

  • Radiology
  • Medical Imaging
  • Artificial Intelligence in Medicine

Background:

  • Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) became a global pandemic.
  • Negative reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) is crucial for patient discharge.
  • Repeated RT-PCR testing causes medical waste and prolonged hospital stays.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To assess a predictive model for RT-PCR negativity in COVID-19 patients.
  • The model integrates chest computed tomography (CT) radiomic features and clinical data.
  • To optimize RT-PCR retesting timing during clinical treatment.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective study of 203 mild COVID-19 patients (141 training, 62 testing).
  • Deep learning for lung abnormality segmentation on CT scans.
  • Extraction of CT quantitative and radiomic features.
  • Multivariate logistic regression model development using selected features and clinical data.

Main Results:

  • The RT-PCR-negative group showed a longer time from symptom onset to CT exam (median 23 vs. 16 days).
  • Nine CT radiomic features and time interval were selected for the model.
  • The model achieved Area Under the Curve (AUC) values of 0.811 (training) and 0.812 (testing).
  • Sensitivity/specificity were 76.5%/62.5% (training) and 78.4%/60.0% (testing).

Conclusions:

  • A combined model of CT radiomic features and clinical data effectively predicts RT-PCR negativity.
  • This model can guide the timing for repeat RT-PCR testing in COVID-19 patients.
  • Potential to improve patient management and reduce healthcare resource utilization.
Abstract

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