Prognostic value of anti-HBc quantification in hepatitis B virus related acute-on-chronic liver failure

It has been reported that serum quantification of anti-HBc (qAnti-HBc) could predict antiviral response in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients, while its role in hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) remains unclear. Its implication in HBV-ACLF was evaluated in this study.

Baseline serum qAnti-HBc levels were retrospectively detected in HBV-ACLF and CHB patients using recently developed double-sandwich immunoassay. The association of qAnti-HBc level with clinical outcomes was evaluated by multiple logistic regression. Nomogram was adopted to formulate an algorithm incorporating qAnti-HBc for the prediction of survival in HBV-ACLF. The post-hospitalization of HBV-ACLF patients were followed-up for 1 year.

Eighty-eight HBV-ACLF as training set, 80 HBV-ACLF as validation set and 216 CHB cases were included. Serum qAnti-HBc level was significantly higher in HBV-ACLF (4.95 ± 0.54 log₁₀  IU/mL) than CHB patients (4.47 ± 0.84 log₁₀  IU/mL) (P < 0.01). Among HBV-ACLF cases, both in training and validation set, patients with poor outcomes had lower qAnti-HBc level. Area under receiver operating characteristic curve of the novel qAnti-HBc inclusive model was 0.82, superior to 0.73 from model for end-stage liver disease scores (P = 0.018), which was confirmed in validation set. During follow-up, the qAnti-HBc level declined at month 3 and month 6, then plateaued at 3.84 log₁₀  IU/mL.

Serum qAnti-HBc level was associated with disease severity and might be served as a novel biomarker in the prediction of HBV-ACLF clinical outcomes. The underlying immunological mechanism warrants further investigation.