Predicting short-term life expectancy of patients with end-stage gastric cancer using Onodera's prognostic...

Although the Onodera's prognosis nutritional index (O-PNI) has been used to predict long-term life expectancy, its use to predict life expectancy within 12 weeks has not been discussed. In this study, we examined the usefulness of the O-PNI to predict short-term life expectancy in patients with end-stage gastric cancer.

Blood samples from 425 patients who underwent surgery for gastric cancer at Toho University Omori Hospital from January 2001 to the end of December 2018 were analyzed. In 184 of 425 patients, a complete set of four blood sampling data were available at 12, 8, 4, and 1 week before death. The cutoff values and c-indices of O-PNI for predicting short-term life expectancy was calculated using the receiver operating characteristic curve.

The shorter the life expectancy, the lower the O-PNI. For life expectancy of 8, 4, and 1 week, the optimal cutoff values for O-PNI were 40.4 (sensitivity 80.1%, specificity 44.6%); 38.3 (sensitivity 80.2%, specificity 54.1%); and 35.5 (sensitivity 80.4%, specificity 55.3%), respectively.

In most patients, the O-PNI was below 40.4, 38.3, and 35.5 at 8, 4, and 1 week, respectively, before death, with 80% sensitivities. The O-PNI may be useful for predicting the short-term life expectancy in patients with end-stage gastric cancer.