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Published on: July 20, 2022
Nonlinear relationship between serum total bilirubin levels and initial ischemic stroke in patients with non-valvular
Ying Liu1, Jie Wang2,3, Wen-Zhen Zeng2
1Key Laboratory of Molecular Epidemiology of Hunan Province, School of Medicine, Hunan Normal University, Changsha, China.
Insights
Total bilirubin levels are linked to ischemic stroke risk in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation. Higher bilirubin may increase stroke risk, with an optimal level identified for the lowest risk.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Neurology
- Biochemistry
Background:
- Non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) is a major risk factor for ischemic stroke.
- Understanding biomarkers that predict stroke risk in NVAF patients is crucial for prevention.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between serum total bilirubin levels and the incidence of initial ischemic stroke in patients diagnosed with NVAF.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective study design involving 316 NVAF patients.
- Diagnosis of atrial fibrillation via 24-hour Holter ECG; ischemic stroke confirmed by clinical presentation and imaging.
- Multivariate Cox proportional hazards and survival analyses were employed to assess the relationship between total bilirubin quintiles and stroke risk.
Main Results:
- A total of 42 (13.29%) first ischemic strokes occurred during follow-up.
- Each 1 µmol/L increase in total bilirubin was associated with a 4% rise in ischemic stroke risk (95% CI: 1.01, 1.07) after adjustment.
- The lowest risk of ischemic stroke was observed at a total bilirubin level of 17.0 µmol/L.
Conclusions:
- Serum total bilirubin levels exhibit a nonlinear association with the risk of initial ischemic stroke in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation.
- These findings suggest total bilirubin may serve as a potential predictive biomarker for ischemic stroke in this patient population.
Objective:
This study aimed to examine the relationship between total bilirubin levels and initial ischemic stroke in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation.
Methods:
This was a retrospective study. Atrial fibrillation was diagnosed by 24-hour Holter electrocardiography and serum total bilirubin levels were divided into quintiles. Ischemic stroke was diagnosed by symptoms, signs, and a medical image examination. The multivariate Cox proportional hazards model and survival analysis were used to estimate the association of total bilirubin with initial ischemic stroke.
Results:
We studied 316 patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation. During follow-up, there were 42 (13.29%) first ischemic strokes. After multivariate adjustment, for each 1 µmol/L increase in total bilirubin, the risk of first ischemic stroke increased by 4% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.01, 1.07). When using the first quintile as the reference, from the second to fifth quintiles, the risks of first ischemic stroke were 0.52 (95% CI: 0.17, 1.65), 0.23 (95% CI: 0.06, 0.87), 0.92 (95% CI: 0.32, 2.67), and 1.33 (95% CI: 1.09, 4.41), respectively. The optimal cut-off point of total bilirubin for the lowest risk of ischemic stroke was 17.0 µmol/L.
Conclusions:
Total bilirubin levels are nonlinearly associated with initial ischemic stroke in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation.
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