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2015 American College of Rheumatology Workforce Study and Demand Projections of Pediatric Rheumatology Workforce,

Colleen K Correll1, Marcia M Ditmyer2, Jay Mehta3

  • 1University of Minnesota, Minneapolis.

Arthritis Care & Research
|October 27, 2020
PubMed

Insights

The pediatric rheumatology workforce faces a worsening gap, with demand projected to double supply by 2030. Innovative strategies are crucial to address this critical shortage and improve patient access to care.

Area of Science:

  • Pediatric Rheumatology Workforce Analysis
  • Healthcare Workforce Trends
  • Medical Economics

Background:

  • The pediatric rheumatology workforce is essential for managing chronic conditions in children.
  • Understanding current workforce composition and trends is vital for future healthcare planning.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To characterize the 2015 US pediatric rheumatology workforce.
  • To evaluate current workforce dynamics and project future supply and demand through 2030.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized a data-driven framework integrating primary and secondary data.
  • Developed a representative workforce model to estimate clinical full-time equivalents (FTEs).
  • Projected pediatric rheumatology supply and demand to 2030.

Main Results:

  • The 2015 pediatric rheumatology workforce comprised an estimated 287 FTEs (300 providers).
  • An excess demand of 95 FTEs (33%) was observed in 2015.
  • Projected demand may increase to nearly 100% by 2030 without workforce interventions.

Conclusions:

  • A significant worsening of the pediatric rheumatology workforce gap is projected by 2030.
  • Demand for pediatric rheumatologists is expected to be double the supply.
  • Urgent implementation of innovative strategies is needed to bolster workforce supply and enhance access to care.
Abstract

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