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2015 American College of Rheumatology Workforce Study and Demand Projections of Pediatric Rheumatology Workforce,
Colleen K Correll1, Marcia M Ditmyer2, Jay Mehta3
1University of Minnesota, Minneapolis.
Arthritis Care & Research
|October 27, 2020
Summary
The pediatric rheumatology workforce faces a worsening gap, with demand projected to double supply by 2030. Innovative strategies are crucial to address this critical shortage and improve patient access to care.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Rheumatology Workforce Analysis
- Healthcare Workforce Trends
- Medical Economics
Background:
- The pediatric rheumatology workforce is essential for managing chronic conditions in children.
- Understanding current workforce composition and trends is vital for future healthcare planning.
Purpose of the Study:
- To characterize the 2015 US pediatric rheumatology workforce.
- To evaluate current workforce dynamics and project future supply and demand through 2030.
Main Methods:
- Utilized a data-driven framework integrating primary and secondary data.
- Developed a representative workforce model to estimate clinical full-time equivalents (FTEs).
- Projected pediatric rheumatology supply and demand to 2030.
Main Results:
- The 2015 pediatric rheumatology workforce comprised an estimated 287 FTEs (300 providers).
- An excess demand of 95 FTEs (33%) was observed in 2015.
- Projected demand may increase to nearly 100% by 2030 without workforce interventions.
Conclusions:
- A significant worsening of the pediatric rheumatology workforce gap is projected by 2030.
- Demand for pediatric rheumatologists is expected to be double the supply.
- Urgent implementation of innovative strategies is needed to bolster workforce supply and enhance access to care.
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