Tumour neoantigen heterogeneity thresholds provide a time window for combination immunotherapy

Guim Aguadé-Gorgorió1,2, Ricard Solé1,2,3

  • 1ICREA-Complex Systems Lab, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, 08003 Barcelona, Spain.

Insights

Tumor neoantigen diversity, not just load, impacts cancer immunotherapy success. A new model predicts a diversity threshold beyond which T cells fail, offering insights for melanoma treatment and combination therapy strategies.

Area of Science:

  • Immunology
  • Computational Biology
  • Oncology

Background:

  • Cancer immunotherapy has advanced understanding of tumor mutational load and neoantigens in T cell recognition.
  • However, not all highly mutated tumors respond to immunotherapy, and relapses occur, suggesting other factors are involved.
  • Tumor neoantigen heterogeneity is a potential reason for immune surveillance failure.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop a mathematical framework modeling how neoantigen distributions influence the immune response.
  • To investigate the role of antigen diversity in T cell control of heterogeneous tumors.
  • To identify potential therapeutic strategies based on neoantigen landscape dynamics.

Main Methods:

  • Developed a mathematical model to describe neoantigen distributions and their impact on immune response.
  • Analyzed the relationship between antigen diversity and T cell control efficacy.
  • Validated model predictions using patient data from anti-CTLA-4 treated melanoma cohorts.
  • Modeled tumor growth dynamics and immune escape mechanisms.

Main Results:

  • The model predicts an antigen diversity threshold above which T cells are ineffective against heterogeneous tumors.
  • Tumor antigen diversity is a significant predictor of treatment response, complementing antigen load.
  • Rapid increases in epitope heterogeneity are observed during early malignancy growth post-immune escape.
  • A combination therapy approach leveraging resistance to targeted agents shows promise.

Conclusions:

  • Neoantigen heterogeneity is a critical factor in cancer immune evasion and immunotherapy failure.
  • Tumor antigen diversity serves as a predictive biomarker for immunotherapy response.
  • Therapeutic strategies targeting neoantigen heterogeneity, including combination therapies and optimized immunotherapy timing, may improve patient outcomes.

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