Highlighting the Prognostic Importance of Measurable Residual Disease Among Acute Myeloid Leukemia Risk Factors

The optimal timing of measurable residual disease (MRD) evaluation in acute myeloid leukemia (AML) patients has not been well defined yet. We aimed to investigate the impact of MRD in pre- and post-allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (AHSCT) periods on prognostic parameters.

Seventy-seven AML patients who underwent AHSCT in complete morphological remission were included. MRD analyses were performed by 10-color MFC and 10^-4 was defined as positive. Relapse risk and survival outcomes were assessed based on pre- and post-AHSCT MRD positivity.

The median age of the patients was 46 (range: 18-71) years, and 41 (53.2%) were male while 36 (46.8%) were female. The median follow-up after AHSCT was 12.2 months (range: 0.2-73.0). The 2-year overall survival (OS) in the entire cohort was 37.0%, with a significant difference between patients who were MRD-negative and MRD-positive before AHSCT, estimated as 63.0% versus 16.0%, respectively (p=0.005). MRD positivity at +28 days after AHSCT was also associated with significantly inferior 2-year OS when compared to MRD negativity (p=0.03). The risk of relapse at 1 year was 2.4 times higher (95% confidence interval: 1.1-5.6; p=0.04) in the pre-AHSCT MRD-positive group when compared to the MRD-negative group regardless of other transplant-related factors, including pre-AHSCT disease status (i.e., complete remission 1 and 2). Event-free survival (EFS) was significantly shorter in patients who were pre-AHSCT MRD-positive (p=0.016). Post-AHSCT MRD positivity was also related to an increased relapse risk. OS and EFS were significantly inferior among MRD-positive patients at +28 days after AHSCT (p=0.03 and p=0.019).

Our results indicate the importance of MRD before and after AHSCT independently of other factors.