Modeling the intracellular dynamics of the dengue viral infection and the innate immune response

The interplay between the dengue virus and the innate immune response is not fully understood. Here, we use deterministic and stochastic approaches to investigate the dynamics of the interaction between the interferon-mediated innate immune response and the dengue virus. We aim to develop a quantitative representation of these complex interactions and predict their system-level dynamics. Our simulation results predict bimodal and bistable dynamics that represent viral clearance and virus-producing states. Under normal conditions, we determined that the viral infection outcome is modulated by the innate immune response and the positive-strand viral RNA concentration. Additionally, we tested system perturbations by external stimulation, such as the direct induction of the innate immune response by interferon, and a therapeutic intervention consisting of the direct application of mRNA encoding for several interferon-stimulated genes. Our simulation results suggest optimal regimes for the studied intervention approaches.