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Assessing observability of chaotic systems using Delay Differential Analysis.

Christopher E Gonzalez1, Claudia Lainscsek1, Terrence J Sejnowski1

  • 1Computational Neurobiology Laboratory, The Salk Institute for Biological Studies, 10010 North Torrey Pines Road, La Jolla, California 92037, USA.

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This study introduces Delay Differential Analysis (DDA) to assess system observability from time-series data when underlying equations are unknown. DDA ranks variables by their data approximation error, offering a robust method for observability assessment.

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Area of Science:

  • Complex Systems Dynamics
  • Data-driven Modeling
  • Systems Engineering

Background:

  • Observability is crucial for understanding system states but often requires known system dynamics.
  • Experimental data frequently lacks explicit governing equations, hindering traditional observability quantification.
  • Developing data-driven methods for observability assessment is essential for analyzing real-world systems.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To propose and validate a novel numerical approach for assessing system observability using only time-series data.
  • To introduce Delay Differential Analysis (DDA) as a method for quantifying observability without prior knowledge of system dynamics.
  • To compare the performance of DDA against established observability assessment techniques.

Main Methods:

  • Employed Delay Differential Analysis (DDA) to approximate time-series data using delay differential equations.
  • Quantified observability by calculating the least squares error between DDA-approximated and recorded data.
  • Ranked system variables based on their least squares error to assess observability.
  • Validated the approach by comparing results with symbolic observability coefficients, reservoir computing, and singular value decomposition.
  • Investigated the robustness of the DDA method against noise contamination.

Main Results:

  • DDA successfully provided a numerical assessment of observability for chaotic systems using time-series data.
  • The least squares error in DDA accurately reflected the observability of system variables.
  • The proposed DDA approach demonstrated comparable or superior performance to existing data-based methods.
  • The method showed robustness in the presence of noise, indicating its practical applicability.

Conclusions:

  • Delay Differential Analysis (DDA) offers a viable and robust data-driven method for assessing system observability when system dynamics are unknown.
  • This approach enhances the ability to identify optimal discriminating variables from experimental data.
  • DDA provides a valuable tool for systems analysis in fields relying on experimental time-series measurements.