Survival in Children With Congenital Heart Disease: Have We Reached a Peak at 97%?

Zacharias Mandalenakis1, Kok Wai Giang1, Peter Eriksson1

  • 1Department of Molecular and Clinical Medicine Institute of Medicine Sahlgrenska Academy University of Gothenburg Sweden.

Insights

Survival for children with congenital heart disease (CHD) has significantly improved since the 1980s. However, survival rates have plateaued this century, with over 97% now reaching adulthood, necessitating lifelong management.

Area of Science:

  • Pediatric Cardiology
  • Public Health
  • Medical Registries

Background:

  • Advances in pediatric healthcare have occurred over decades.
  • Uncertainty remains regarding continued survival increases in children with congenital heart disease (CHD).

Purpose of the Study:

  • To examine survival trends in children diagnosed with congenital heart disease (CHD).
  • To compare mortality risk in pediatric CHD patients versus the general population.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized nationwide Swedish health registries from 1980 to 2017.
  • Included 64,396 patients with CHD and 639,012 matched controls.
  • Employed Cox proportional regression and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis.

Main Results:

  • Mortality risk was 17.7 times higher in children with CHD compared to controls.
  • Highest mortality occurred within the first four years of life.
  • Survival rates increased substantially by birth decade, reaching 97% for those born 2010-2017, with no improvement post-2000.

Conclusions:

  • Survival in children with congenital heart disease (CHD) has significantly increased since the 1980s.
  • No significant survival improvement observed in the 21st century.
  • Over 97% of children with CHD now reach adulthood, emphasizing the need for lifelong care.

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