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Real-time, interactive website for US-county-level COVID-19 event risk assessment
Aroon Chande1,2, Seolha Lee3, Mallory Harris4
1School of Biological Sciences, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Nature Human Behaviour
|November 10, 2020
Summary
An interactive dashboard estimates COVID-19 risk at gatherings using real-time infection data. This tool helps individuals and policymakers make informed decisions to control the spread of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2).
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Public Health
- Data Science
Background:
- Large gatherings, especially indoors, are linked to accelerated spread of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2).
- Accurate, real-time risk assessment is crucial for pandemic control.
- Geolocalized data can empower informed decision-making.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop an interactive online dashboard for estimating COVID-19 presence risk in gatherings.
- To provide real-time, geolocalized risk information for the United States.
- To support public health strategies for controlling SARS-CoV-2 transmission.
Main Methods:
- Combined county-level SARS-CoV-2 case reports with serological survey data to estimate ascertainment bias.
- Calculated real-time, per-capita infection rates.
- Developed a daily updated online dashboard with interactive maps and plots.
Main Results:
- The dashboard provides daily updated, geolocalized estimates of SARS-CoV-2 presence risk in gatherings.
- Visualizations include county maps and state-level plots to illustrate risk.
- Data-driven insights are available for public and policy use.
Conclusions:
- The developed dashboard offers a valuable tool for assessing and communicating COVID-19 risks associated with gatherings.
- Informed decisions regarding mask-wearing and gathering avoidance can be made.
- The tool aids in controlling SARS-CoV-2 spread, particularly in high-incidence areas.
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