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Related Concept Videos

Steps in Outbreak Investigation01:18

Steps in Outbreak Investigation

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In the ever-evolving field of public health, statistical analysis serves as a cornerstone for understanding and managing disease outbreaks. By leveraging various statistical tools, health professionals can predict potential outbreaks, analyze ongoing situations, and devise effective responses to mitigate impact. For that to happen, there are a few possible stages of the analysis:
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Related Experiment Video

Updated: Dec 1, 2025

A Murine Model of Dengue Virus-induced Acute Viral Encephalitis-like Disease
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Comparing machine learning with case-control models to identify confirmed dengue cases.

Tzong-Shiann Ho1,2, Ting-Chia Weng3,4, Jung-Der Wang3,5,6

  • 1Department of Pediatrics, National Cheng Kung University Hospital, College of Medicine, National Cheng Kung University, Tainan, Taiwan, Republic of China.

Plos Neglected Tropical Diseases
|November 10, 2020
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Machine learning models accurately identify dengue cases using basic patient data, aiding early detection and control in resource-limited settings. These models offer high sensitivity, especially before peak outbreaks, facilitating timely public health interventions.

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Area of Science:

  • Epidemiology
  • Machine Learning
  • Public Health

Background:

  • Global dengue incidence has risen, necessitating improved surveillance.
  • Effective surveillance aids early outbreak detection, trend monitoring, and control.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To apply machine learning (ML) for identifying laboratory-confirmed dengue cases.
  • To evaluate the performance of ML models using limited clinical variables.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized data from 4,894 emergency department patients with dengue-like illness.
  • Applied deep neural network (DNN), decision tree (DT), and logistic regression (LR) models.
  • Input variables included age, body temperature, white blood cell counts (WBCs), and platelets.

Main Results:

  • Dengue confirmed in 60.11% of patients.
  • Models achieved Area Under the Curve (AUC) for Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves ranging from 83.75% to 85.87%.
  • High pre-peak sensitivities (92.6%-93.1%) were observed, particularly for low WBCs, fever, low platelets, and elderly patients.

Conclusions:

  • ML models offer a viable, convenient screening tool for dengue in resource-poor settings.
  • These models can support real-time syndromic surveillance and early warning systems.
  • Integration with other surveillance data can enhance dengue prevention and control efforts.