The thermal response of soil microbial methanogenesis decreases in magnitude with changing temperature

Microbial methanogenesis in anaerobic soils contributes greatly to global methane (CH₄) release, and understanding its response to temperature is fundamental to predicting the feedback between this potent greenhouse gas and climate change. A compensatory thermal response in microbial activity over time can reduce the response of respiratory carbon (C) release to temperature change, as shown for carbon dioxide (CO₂) in aerobic soils. However, whether microbial methanogenesis also shows a compensatory response to temperature change remains unknown. Here, we used anaerobic wetland soils from the Greater Khingan Range and the Tibetan Plateau to investigate how 160 days of experimental warming (+4°C) and cooling (-4°C) affect the thermal response of microbial CH₄ respiration and whether these responses correspond to changes in microbial community dynamics. The mass-specific CH₄ respiration rates of methanogens decreased with warming and increased with cooling, suggesting that microbial methanogenesis exhibited compensatory responses to temperature changes. Furthermore, changes in the species composition of methanogenic community under warming and cooling largely explained the compensatory response in the soils. The stimulatory effect of climate warming on soil microbe-driven CH₄ emissions may thus be smaller than that currently predicted, with important consequences for atmospheric CH₄ concentrations.