Tumor Mutational Burden as a Predictor of Immunotherapy Response: Is More Always Better?

John H Strickler1, Brent A Hanks1,2,3, Mustafa Khasraw4,2

  • 1Duke Cancer Institute, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina.

Insights

High tumor mutational burden (TMB) shows promise for predicting response to cancer immunotherapies like PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors. However, its universal applicability across all solid tumors requires further investigation and raises concerns about a one-size-fits-all threshold.

Area of Science:

  • Oncology
  • Immunotherapy
  • Biomarker Research

Background:

  • Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) targeting PD-1/PD-L1 have revolutionized cancer treatment.
  • Most patients exhibit resistance to ICIs, creating a need for predictive biomarkers.
  • High tumor mutational burden (TMB-H) is a potential biomarker, but its efficacy across diverse solid tumors is uncertain.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To critically evaluate the use of tumor mutational burden (TMB) as a universal predictive biomarker for PD-1/PD-L1 blockade across all solid tumors.
  • To discuss the limitations and caveats associated with applying a single TMB threshold for patient selection.
  • To explore the relationship between TMB, the tumor immune microenvironment, and clinical response.

Main Methods:

  • Review of clinical trial evidence, including data from the KEYNOTE-158 study.
  • Analysis of the FDA's pan-cancer approval of pembrolizumab based on TMB.
  • Exploration of the association between TMB and tumor immune microenvironment characteristics.

Main Results:

  • The FDA approved pembrolizumab for solid tumors with TMB ≥ 10 mutations/megabase, based on exploratory analyses.
  • Evidence suggests that TMB's predictive value may vary significantly across different tumor types.
  • Extrapolating TMB data from limited histologies to all solid tumors carries risks.

Conclusions:

  • A universal TMB threshold may not be reliably predictive of response to ICI therapy across all solid tumors.
  • Further research is needed to refine TMB as a biomarker and understand its interplay with the tumor immune microenvironment.
  • Developing robust, tumor-specific biomarkers is crucial for optimizing ICI treatment strategies.

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