Prediction of the Risk of Hospital Deaths in Patients with Hospital-Acquired Pneumonia Caused by Multidrug-Resistant

Hongmei Shu1,2,3, Lijuan Li2, Yimin Wang2

  • 1Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Xuanwu Hospital Capital Medical University, Beijing, People's Republic of China.

Abstract

Insights

Predicting hospital deaths in multidrug-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii hospital-acquired pneumonia (HAP) is crucial. Adjusted APACHE II and SOFA scores effectively predict mortality risk, aiding prognosis and infection control strategies.

Area of Science:

  • Infectious Diseases
  • Critical Care Medicine
  • Public Health

Background:

  • Hospital-acquired pneumonia (HAP) caused by multidrug-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii (MDR-AB) presents a significant challenge.
  • Predicting mortality in these patients is essential for effective management and resource allocation.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To predict the risk of hospital deaths in patients with HAP caused by MDR-AB infection.
  • To evaluate the predictive performance of APACHE II and SOFA scores in this patient population.

Main Methods:

  • A cohort of 366 patients with MDR-AB HAP was analyzed.
  • Sociological characteristics and clinical data were collected.
  • Univariate and multivariate logistic analyses, ROC curves, and AUC were used to assess risk factors and predictive models.

Main Results:

  • Hospital deaths occurred in 38.80% of patients.
  • Both APACHE II and SOFA scores, before and after medication, were associated with hospital death risk.
  • Adjusted APACHE II and SOFA scores demonstrated comparable predictive effectiveness (AUCs ranging from 0.808 to 0.878).

Conclusions:

  • Adjusted APACHE II and SOFA scores are reliable predictors of hospital mortality in MDR-AB HAP.
  • Effective infection control measures are vital for reducing nosocomial deaths and improving patient outcomes.

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