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How successful Bangladesh is in controlling the coronavirus pandemic?

Ayatullah Al Musabi Akanda1, Redwan Ahmed2

  • 1Department of Economics, Government Ashek Mahmud College (Under Ministry of Education), Jamalpur, Bangladesh.

Bulletin of the National Research Centre
|November 30, 2020
PubMed

Insights

Government policy measures in Bangladesh showed a positive impact in controlling the spread of coronavirus disease (COVID-19). However, continuous evaluation and adaptation of these strategies are necessary as the pandemic evolves.

Area of Science:

  • Epidemiology
  • Public Health Policy

Background:

  • Rising COVID-19 cases in Bangladesh coincided with increased testing, raising concerns about pandemic control.
  • Contrasting government claims of control necessitated an investigation into policy effectiveness.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the impact of government policy measures on controlling the COVID-19 pandemic in Bangladesh.

Main Methods:

  • A simulation model was used to compare projected COVID-19 patient numbers with and without policy interventions.
  • Analysis focused on the period from July 2020 onwards to assess policy impact.

Main Results:

  • Simulated COVID-19 patient numbers (without policies) exceeded actual reported cases (with policies) starting July 2020.
  • This divergence suggests that implemented policy measures had a beneficial effect on pandemic containment.

Conclusions:

  • Government policies have been partially effective in mitigating the spread of COVID-19.
  • Ongoing adaptation of policies is recommended to maintain effectiveness as the pandemic persists and public compliance potentially wanes.
Abstract

Keywords:
COVID-19CoronavirusPandemicSEIRD modelSimulation

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