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Published on: October 22, 2020
Little evidence for an effect of smoking on multiple sclerosis risk: A Mendelian Randomization study
Ruth E Mitchell1,2, Kirsty Bates2, Robyn E Wootton1,3,4
1Medical Research Council Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom.
Abstract:
The causes of multiple sclerosis (MS) remain unknown. Smoking has been associated with MS in observational studies and is often thought of as an environmental risk factor. We used two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) to examine whether this association is causal using genetic variants identified in genome-wide association studies (GWASs) as associated with smoking. We assessed both smoking initiation and lifetime smoking behaviour (which captures smoking duration, heaviness, and cessation). There was very limited evidence for a meaningful effect of smoking on MS susceptibility as measured using summary statistics from the International Multiple Sclerosis Genetics Consortium (IMSGC) meta-analysis, including 14,802 cases and 26,703 controls. There was no clear evidence for an effect of smoking on the risk of developing MS (smoking initiation: odds ratio [OR] 1.03, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.92-1.61; lifetime smoking: OR 1.10, 95% CI 0.87-1.40). These findings suggest that smoking does not have a detrimental consequence on MS susceptibility. Further work is needed to determine the causal effect of smoking on MS progression.
Insights
This study found no clear evidence that smoking causes multiple sclerosis (MS). Mendelian randomization analysis suggests smoking initiation and lifetime smoking do not increase MS risk.
Area of Science:
- Neuroimmunology
- Genetic Epidemiology
Background:
- The etiology of multiple sclerosis (MS) is complex and not fully understood.
- Observational studies suggest a link between smoking and increased MS risk, positioning smoking as a potential environmental risk factor.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the causal relationship between smoking and multiple sclerosis (MS) susceptibility.
- To differentiate the effects of smoking initiation versus lifetime smoking behavior on MS risk.
Main Methods:
- Employed two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis.
- Utilized genetic variants associated with smoking from genome-wide association studies (GWASs).
- Analyzed summary statistics from a large International Multiple Sclerosis Genetics Consortium (IMSGC) meta-analysis (14,802 cases, 26,703 controls).
Main Results:
- Limited evidence for a causal effect of smoking initiation on MS susceptibility (OR 1.03, 95% CI 0.92-1.61).
- No clear evidence for a causal effect of lifetime smoking behavior on MS susceptibility (OR 1.10, 95% CI 0.87-1.40).
Conclusions:
- Current evidence does not support a detrimental causal effect of smoking on multiple sclerosis susceptibility.
- Further research is required to explore the potential causal impact of smoking on MS progression.
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