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Trends in medical conditions and functioning in the U.S. population, 1997-2017
1Mathematica, 955 Massachusetts Avenue #801, Cambridge, MA, 02139, USA.
Federal disability rolls grew due to rising obesity and endocrine conditions, alongside increased cognitive and social limitations. Hearing and vision impairments declined, but overall trends partially explain disability roll changes.
Area of Science:
- Public Health
- Epidemiology
- Sociology
Background:
- Federal disability rolls experienced substantial growth over decades, influenced by demographics, policies, and disability prevalence.
- Recent trends indicate a slowdown in the growth of disability beneficiaries.
Purpose of the Study:
- To examine changes in the prevalence of disabling conditions among working-age adults over the past two decades.
- To assess shifts in functional limitations among individuals with these conditions over time.
Main Methods:
- Utilized nationally representative data from the National Health Interview Survey (NHIS).
- Documented population trends since 1997 for chronic conditions and functional limitations in adult disability beneficiaries.
- Employed regression-adjusted analyses to identify changes.
Main Results:
- Increased prevalence of obesity, endocrine conditions, and neoplasms observed in the U.S. population.
- Declines in hearing and vision limitations contrasted with increases in cognitive, social, and movement limitations.
- Evidence suggests condition and limitation reporting is countercyclical with the business cycle.
Conclusions:
- Observed changes in condition prevalence and functional limitations partially align with trends in federal disability rolls.
- Rising social limitations may reflect increasing social isolation in the U.S.
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