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Combining Generalized Renewal Processes with Non-Extensive Entropy-Based q-Distributions for Reliability
Isis Didier Lins1,2, Márcio Das Chagas Moura1,2, Enrique López Droguett1,3,4
1Center for Risk Analysis and Environmental Modeling-CEERMA, Universidade Federal de Pernambuco, Recife PE 50740-550, Brazil.
This study introduces new Generalized Renewal Process (GRP) models using q-Exponential and q-Weibull distributions for enhanced repairable system reliability analysis. These novel models offer improved data fitting, especially for extreme values and complex failure patterns.
Area of Science:
- Reliability Engineering
- Statistical Modeling
- Non-extensive Statistical Mechanics
Background:
- The Generalized Renewal Process (GRP) is a key probabilistic model for repairable systems, often combined with the Weibull distribution.
- Existing models may have limitations in capturing complex failure intensity behaviors and handling extreme data values.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop novel GRP models utilizing Tsallis' non-extensive entropy-based q-Exponential and q-Weibull distributions.
- To enhance the modeling capabilities for repairable systems, particularly for data with extreme values and diverse failure patterns.
- To provide advanced alternatives to the traditional Weibull-GRP model.
Main Methods:
- Development of Generalized Renewal Process (GRP) models incorporating q-Exponential and q-Weibull probability distributions.
- Parameter estimation using the maximum likelihood method.
- Optimization via a particle swarm algorithm and validation through Monte Carlo simulations.
Main Results:
- The q-Exponential-GRP serves as an alternative to the Weibull-GRP, adept at handling extreme values due to its power-law behavior.
- The q-Weibull-GRP generalizes existing models, capable of fitting decreasing, constant, increasing, bathtub-shaped, and unimodal failure intensity functions.
- Application to complex system reliability data demonstrated the efficacy of the proposed models.
Conclusions:
- The integration of q-distributions with GRP offers a powerful and flexible framework for analyzing repairable systems.
- These novel models provide superior performance in fitting diverse and complex reliability data compared to traditional methods.
- The developed q-distribution-based GRP models are promising for advanced reliability analysis of complex systems.
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