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Transductive Feature Selection Using Clustering-Based Sample Entropy for Temperature Prediction in Weather

Zahra Karevan1, Johan A K Suykens1

  • 1ESAT-STADIUS (Department of Electrical Engineering-Stadius Centre for Dynamical Systems, Signal Processing and Data Analytics), KU Leuven, Kasteelpark Arenberg 10, B-3001 Leuven, Belgium.

Entropy (Basel, Switzerland)
|December 3, 2020
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

This study introduces clustering-based sample entropy to improve time series analysis. The novel method enhances feature selection for weather forecasting by considering data seasonality and local structures.

Keywords:
conditional entropyfeature selectioninformation transfertransductive learningweather forecasting

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Area of Science:

  • Information theory
  • Time series analysis
  • Dynamical systems

Background:

  • Entropy measures quantify information content in dynamical systems.
  • Sample entropy is a model-free method for time series information transfer.
  • Identifying informative past values in conditional entropy is crucial.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop a lag-specific conditional entropy to identify informative past values.
  • To propose a clustering-based sample entropy method that exploits temporal information and seasonality.
  • To apply this method for transductive feature selection in black-box weather forecasting.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized lag-specific conditional entropy to pinpoint relevant past data points.
  • Introduced clustering-based sample entropy, incorporating training data clusters and test point membership.
  • Applied the method to predict minimum and maximum temperatures in Brussels for 1-6 days ahead.

Main Results:

  • The clustering-based approach improved feature selection performance by considering local data structures.
  • Competitive forecasting accuracy was achieved even with a significant reduction in the number of features.
  • The method demonstrated effectiveness in transductive feature selection for black-box models.

Conclusions:

  • Considering local data structures and seasonality via clustering-based sample entropy enhances feature selection.
  • This approach offers a robust method for time series analysis and forecasting.
  • The proposed technique provides efficient feature selection without compromising predictive performance.