Optimal choice of antiseizure medication: Agreement among experts and validation of a web-based decision support...

Optimal choice of antiseizure medication (ASM) depends on seizure type, syndrome, age, gender, comorbidities and co-medications. There are no fixed rules on how to weigh these factors; choices are subjective and experience-driven. We investigated agreement among experts in selecting ASM as monotherapy and used their prevailing choices to validate a web-based decision-support application.

Twenty-four international experts, blinded to the app, selected the optimal ASM for 25 individual patient-cases covering a wide variation of seizure types and other factors influencing ASM selection. The app ranked ASMs in order of likely appropriateness for each case. In a second step, experts rated anonymously the choices of the app.

Of the 25 patient-cases (age 13-74 years), 13 were female, 18 (72%) had comorbidities, six (24%) were on contraceptives, and 13 (52%) had other co-medications. The median number of experts who selected the same ASM for a given case was 15 (62.5%) and interquartile range (IQR) 13-18 (54%-75%). Gwet's agreement coefficient among experts was 0.38 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.32-0.44), corresponding to a "fair" agreement. Agreement between the app and the prevailing expert choice for each case was 0.48 (95% CI 0.29-0.67), corresponding to a "moderate" beyond chance agreement. The percent agreement between the highest ranked selections of the app and the expert selections was 73% (95% CI 64%-82%). Ninety-five percent of the experts considered that no incorrect or potentially harmful ASMs were ranked highest by the app, and most experts strongly agreed with the app's selections.

This app, now validated by experts, provides an objective, reproducible method for selecting ASM that accounts for relevant clinical features. It is freely available at: https://epipick.org.