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Guessing PINs, One Partial PIN at a Time.

Entropy (Basel, Switzerland)·2022
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Convergence of Password Guessing to Optimal Success Rates.

Hazel Murray1, David Malone1

  • 1Department of Mathematics and Statistics and the Hamilton Institute, Maynooth University, R51 A021 Co. Kildare, Ireland.

Entropy (Basel, Switzerland)
|December 8, 2020
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Password leaks significantly increase user vulnerability to guessing attacks. Even a small leak of 1% of passwords can enable attackers to achieve over 84% success in compromising other users on the same website.

Keywords:
datasetdistributionguessingpasswords

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Area of Science:

  • Computer Science
  • Cybersecurity
  • Information Security

Background:

  • Password guessing is a prevalent attack vector for compromising end-user accounts.
  • Publicly disclosed password leaks enhance attacker knowledge, improving guessing strategies.
  • Quantifying the effectiveness of password guessing strategies across datasets is challenging for researchers.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To demonstrate how password leaks increase user vulnerability.
  • To quantify the success rate of password guessing attacks post-leak.
  • To develop a model for comparing password guessing strategies.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized proofs of convergence and real-world password data analysis.
  • Constructed a mathematical model for password guessing.
  • Formulated theorems to describe guessing success rates.

Main Results:

  • A leak of just 1% of user passwords can lead to an attacker success rate exceeding 84% for other users.
  • User vulnerability demonstrably increases with the occurrence of password leaks.
  • The developed model allows for visual comparisons of guessing strategy effectiveness.

Conclusions:

  • Password leaks pose a severe and quantifiable risk to user security.
  • Even minor data breaches can drastically elevate the success rate of password guessing attacks.
  • The proposed model provides a valuable tool for cybersecurity research and strategy evaluation.